Tug of War
Author: Rab Clark
As promised, the result of our mid-week poll asking:
Do you believe that the SNP is 'the only vehicle to independence'?
In the first few hours the 'No' vote appeared to be running at approximately 3X 'Yes' but it soon became a tug-of-war at 50/50, sometimes precisely, and we don't recall seeing that in any of our other polls, certainly not across a period of 48-60 hours. A gap started to appear yesterday with 'No' vote increasingly very slowly and, while we weren't able to monitor the voting constantly we don't believe it surpassed the 52.7% final result. Whether or not more time would've increased the 'No' vote further is worth considering but the change was so slow that it's hard to see it making a great deal of difference.
We'll ask the same question in a few months.
Please have a look at the comments to get a sense of the reaction. As usual, some take the question personally, as if we designed it to offend them. Others assume that we have a motivation in raising the question at all and have some predetermined result in mind. But some appeared genuinely shocked at the breakdown as it stabilised, even while acknowledging that the SNP remains the largest independence party. We leave it to others to unpick the result but it shouldn't be dismissed out of hand. 2,287 of anything is a lot.
(2) Off-Topic Scotland on X: "Do you believe that the SNP is 'the only vehicle to independence'?" / X (twitter.com)